Since the start of Donald Trump’s trade war, tensions between the United States and Canada have escalated, leading to a surge in Google searches about the possibility of Canada cutting off electricity exports to the U.S. One of the most frequently searched questions is: “Can Canada cut off power to the United States?”
This question arises amid the 25% tariff imposed by the Trump administration on Canadian imports, along with a 10% tariff on Canadian energy exports. In response, Ontario Premier Doug Ford suggested retaliatory measures, including a 25% surcharge on electricity exports to Michigan, New York, and Minnesota. If the situation worsens, Ford stated that he would consider cutting off power entirely.
What Role Does Canada Play in U.S. Energy Supply?
Ontario, Canada’s most populous province, is also one of its largest electricity producers. The province exports power to multiple U.S. states, including:
- Michigan
- New York
- Minnesota
Approximately 1.5 million Americans rely on Canadian electricity, making any potential disruption a serious issue for these states. According to the Canada Energy Regulator, most of Ontario’s power comes from uranium, and the province’s grid is closely interconnected with both Canadian provinces (such as Quebec and Manitoba) and the United States.
Are Trump’s Tariffs Against Canada Legal?
Trump’s tariffs against Canada and Mexico were imposed unilaterally, despite being in direct violation of the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (USMCA), the modernized version of NAFTA.
Under USMCA, the three countries agreed to reduce trade barriers and avoid punitive tariffs on key industries. Trump’s decision to override this agreement has led to a trade dispute that is likely to have economic and legal consequences.
ALSO READ. Will Tariffs Affect Used Car Prices? This is what the experts say
Can Canada Legally Cut Off Power to the U.S.?
Just as Trump’s tariffs violate trade agreements, Canada’s potential decision to cut power to the U.S. could also lead to legal challenges. Canada supplies electricity under long-term contracts with U.S. states and energy companies.
However, Canada could legally increase tariffs or surcharges on electricity exports, making power significantly more expensive for U.S. consumers.
What Retaliatory Measures Has Canada Announced?
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau responded to Trump’s tariffs by implementing $30 billion in retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods. If Trump does not lift the tariffs, Canada has threatened to expand these tariffs to $155 billion.
Among Canada’s countermeasures:
- A 25% tariff on U.S. imports, including key consumer goods
- Restrictions on U.S. companies bidding for Canadian infrastructure projects
- The removal of American alcohol products from Canadian markets
- The cancellation of a $100 million contract with Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite internet service
What Would Happen If Canada Cut Off Power to the U.S.?
If Canada completely cut off electricity exports, several consequences would follow:
1. Power Shortages in U.S. States
Michigan, New York, and Minnesota rely on Canadian energy to stabilize their grids. A sudden halt in electricity supply could lead to blackouts and price spikes.
2. Higher Energy Costs for Americans
Even if Ontario does not fully cut power, raising export surcharges would make Canadian electricity more expensive, driving up utility bills in affected states.
3. Diplomatic and Economic Fallout
A total shutdown of power exports could escalate tensions between Canada and the U.S., potentially leading to more aggressive trade measures from Washington.
